Study on prediction of approaching tipping points

Study on prediction of approaching tipping points

Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI)

Published: 5 May 2025

AWI researchers urge caution in interpreting early warning signals of climate tipping points, noting these signals don’t always indicate a tipping point is near. They recommend a Bayesian approach to improve statistical accuracy.

Keywords: early warning signals, AMOC, AWI, Bayesian approach, statistical significance

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Rising temperatures lead to unexpectedly rapid carbon release from soils

Rising temperatures lead to unexpectedly rapid carbon release from soils

Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI)

Published: 19 May 2025

A new study shows soil carbon in (sub-)tropical regions is far more sensitive to temperature than rainfall. Warming since the last ice age rapidly increased CO₂ release, suggesting climate models underestimate future soil carbon feedbacks.

Keywords: soil carbon, CO₂ release, temperature sensitivity, MARUM, AWI, carbon cycle models

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Plastic Credits May Worsen Plastic Problem

Plastic Credits May Worsen Plastic Problem

Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI)

Published: 2 June 2025

Plastic credits may worsen pollution rather than solve it, say experts in One Earth. The approach oversimplifies plastic’s complexity, risks greenwashing, and could hinder real solutions like production cuts and stronger regulations.

Keywords: plastic pollution, offsetting, UN Plastics Treaty, AWI, greenwashing, policy risks

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